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Monday, June 20, 2022

What is a ‘black swan’ event?

A black swan is a rare, unforeseen event that has a substantial influence on society or the planet. These occurrences are considered to have three distinct characteristics: they are highly rare and outside the sphere of normal expectations; they have a significant impact after they occur; and they appear probable in hindsight when reasonable explanations emerge.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, an author and investor, proposed the black swan hypothesis in 2001 and popularised it in his 2007 book The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.

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